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Research, analysis and events from Dor Moriah. Browse by year or topic, or search the full text.

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Publications

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Iran: Washington pays with a carrier and its drones, Mossad pays with the plan’s authors

A U.S. official told the Washington Post that the intelligence on an Iranian plot to kill Donald Trump was «Israeli-derived, not U.S.-generated, and viewed as low confidence.» Israel passed the warning to the CIA before the president left t…

Syria: Iran Threatens the Palace

If Damascus sends troops into Lebanon against Hezbollah, Iranian missiles will land on Syria rather than Lebanon: more than 100 strategic sites in the opening salvo alone, the presidential palace first among them. Tehran passed that warning…

The New Middle East — and Israel Isn’t in It

What was actually signed on July 22 «We are changing the Middle East and becoming a regional power,» Netanyahu said in March 2026, at his first press conference after the war with Iran began. He repeated the formula all year, and it had a s…

How the Opposition Is Building the Case to Reject the Election Result

In the Knesset today, opposition leader Yair Lapid declared: «Russia and Iran are running influence operations against the Israeli public in the run-up to the election.» The theme of a future stolen election is being introduced not by a fri…

The Peripheral Doctrine: Turkey and Israel’s Eviction from the India–EU Corridor

Ben-Gurion’s peripheral doctrine — leaning on the non-Arab periphery (Iran, Turkey, Ethiopia) against the Arab environment — has stopped functioning as a strategic frame for Israeli security. Two of its load-bearing states, Iran and Turkey,…

Trading Axes: Washington Finishes Off the Shiites and Arms the Sunnis

Trump is dismantling the Iranian axis — and with the same motion strengthening the Turkish one, which openly names Israel a threat On June 24, the Trump administration notified Congress of its intent to sell Turkey a batch of General Electr…

Turkey in Israeli Eyes: A Threat Without Confrontation

Most Israelis see Turkey as a source of threats and risks to the country’s security — above all in the context of East Jerusalem, Gaza, and a regional settlement. But anxiety does not translate into appetite for a hard line: responses are d…

Turkey in Israel’s Geopolitical Environment: What the Expert Survey Found

Expert survey conducted in May 2026. Eleven experts — from the secular left to the religious right — agreed on more than they disagreed on. That convergence across the ideological spectrum is the central finding: this is a structural pictur…

Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde of Trump’s Gaza Plan

On the same day that Nikolai Mladenov, the High Representative of the Board of Peace, condemned Israel’s Minister of National Security Itamar Ben-Gvir, he released a separate document worth a closer look: a «roadmap» for the future of Gaza.…

The Money the Model Couldn’t See

AI, digital currency, and the blind spot in The Limits to Growth Igor Kaminnyk https://orcid.org/0009-0008-0981-965X The Limits to Growth (1972) is usually remembered as an environmental forecast. This essay looks at it from another angle —…

The Bomb as an Attribute of the Caliphate

Why Turkey’s nuclear program will not end with Iran’s defeat — and why Israel has yet to grasp it Five days after the active phase of the war with Iran ended, on April 14, 2026, Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan stated that Israeli strik…

The «Hexagonal Alliance» and a New Architecture of Middle East Stability

Results of a public opinion survey conducted in Israel by Geocartography, March 2026, using a questionnaire developed by Dor Moriah analysts. The survey examines how Israelis perceive the «Hexagonal Alliance» — Prime Minister Netanyahu’s pr…