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The difference in expectations from the US presidential election is another rift in Israel society, along with the previously identified significant contradictions in the attitude of Israelis to judicial reform. This difference may be due, among other things, to months of protests around judicial reform, during which Democrats actively supported the protests.
Secular and Arabic-speaking Israelis prefer a victory of Democrats (43-45% versus 18-29% to religious of varying degrees Jews). Religious Jews prefer a victory of Republicans (33-50% versus 8-24% among Arabs and secular Israelis). There are similar differences between Israelis with different political preferences. The right and right-centrists expect a victory of Republicans (39-40% to 21-29% – expecting a victory of Democrats).
Respondents see the positive effect of the victory of Republicans in the areas “Independence of Israel foreign policy and Israel national security“. The field of national security is among the few where there is some consensus on the desirability of Republican candidate winning in the US election.
We see the minimum difference of Israelis opinion on specific issues as “the expectation of the election results impact on the economy, the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, etc.” So, on some issues, we get the same shares of those waiting both Republican victories and Democratic victories (20% -20%).
Only in the sphere of “socio-political tension in Israel” the difference between positive expectations in the case of elections of Democrats and Republicans reaches 5%. In all other areas the difference does not exceed 4% with a statistical error of 3.1%.
Russian-speaking Israelis favor Republicans in their expectations of the US elections results. Basically, repatriates from other countries take a similar position, unlike native Israelis.
According to Israelis opinion in most areas the situation in Israel significantly depends on relations with the United States. In total, 75% -85% of Israelis believe that Israel depends strongly and very strongly on the United States in all areas.
82% believe that the US presidential elections results will affect the situation in Israel.