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Research & archive
An archival publication of the late June 2026 survey. The findings do not report election results.
Key findings
54.7%
See the country on the wrong track
26.4%
Name the economy as their top issue
29.2%
Prefer Netanyahu for prime minister
N = 1006
Respondents in the full sample
How Israeli political preferences fit together before the election
Methodology
Dor Moriah designed the questionnaire and Geocartography conducted fieldwork in late June 2026. The nationwide online sample comprised 1,006 adults aged 18 and over, with Jewish and Arab respondents represented in proportion to their population shares. The reported maximum margin of error is ±3.1 percentage points at 95% confidence for the overall sample, not for subgroups. The report examines substantive differences supported by chi-square tests at p < 0.05. Seven-point scales are grouped as 1–3, 4 and 5–7. Jewish respondents self-identified as secular, traditional or religious, the latter including Haredim.
A civil constitution or Halakha
52.8% chose the civil constitution end of the scale, 20.0% Torah law and 21.5% an equal combination. An unequivocal preference for a constitution was the most frequent single answer (29.7%, versus 8.5% for Halakha). The secular group favored a constitution (76.8% versus 5.2%; mean 2.2); the religious group favored Torah law (67.3% versus 11.4%; mean 5.3). Traditional respondents were between these positions (36.2% versus 22.7%; 35.1% chose equal weight). Arab respondents favored a constitution over Torah law by 64.0% to 3.8%.
A civil constitution or Halakha
Percentages. Full responses and sample bases are in the table.
Overall distribution
- Constitution (1–3)
- 52.8%
- 4 — Both equally
- 21.5%
- Halakha (5–7)
- 20.0%
- Don't know
- 5.7%
Full table by respondent group
| Response | Overall | Secular | Traditional | Religious and Haredi | Jewish | Arab |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 — Civil constitution | 29.7% | 45.3% | 14.3% | 4.8% | 27.3% | 42.9% |
| 2 | 13.2% | 18.2% | 10.4% | 4.2% | 12.9% | 14.7% |
| 3 | 9.9% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 2.4% | 10.6% | 6.4% |
| 4 — Both equally | 21.5% | 15.3% | 35.1% | 17.0% | 22.1% | 17.9% |
| 5 | 6.2% | 3.0% | 7.2% | 16.4% | 6.9% | 1.9% |
| 6 | 5.3% | 1.5% | 6.5% | 17.0% | 6.1% | 0.6% |
| 7 — Torah law (Halakha) | 8.5% | 0.7% | 9.0% | 33.9% | 9.9% | 1.3% |
| Don't know | 5.7% | 2.7% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 14.1% |
| Weighted mean | 3.1 | 2.2 | 3.7 | 5.3 | 3.3 | 2.2 |
| Valid N | 949 | 395 | 262 | 158 | 815 | 134 |
How respondents see the state today
The most frequent answer was an equal balance between secular and religious features (27.5%); unequivocal answers were rarer, 9.3% secular and 4.3% religious. The two ends nearly tied: 34.1% saw Israel as more secular and 34.6% as more religious. Secular respondents more often saw Israel as religious (42.8% versus 30.9%), and religious respondents more often saw it as secular (49.8% versus 26.6%). This is a perception measure, not an institutional classification.
| Response | Overall | Secular | Traditional | Religious and Haredi | Jewish | Arab |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 — Secular | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 12.8% |
| 2 | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 16.4% | 10.6% | 7.7% |
| 3 | 14.7% | 12.1% | 14.3% | 26.1% | 15.5% | 10.3% |
| 4 — Equally | 27.5% | 24.1% | 36.6% | 21.2% | 27.6% | 26.9% |
| 5 | 18.7% | 24.6% | 15.4% | 13.9% | 19.5% | 14.1% |
| 6 | 11.6% | 13.8% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 12.8% |
| 7 — Religious | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 7.1% |
| Don't know | 3.7% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 8.3% |
| Valid N | 969 | 397 | 268 | 161 | 826 | 143 |
The country's direction
54.7% rated the direction negatively, 25.9% positively and 13.8% chose the midpoint. The most frequent individual answer was the negative endpoint, at 22.1%. Negative ratings reached 70.6% among secular respondents and 55.1% among Arab respondents. The religious group was the only one where positive answers outweighed negative ones (42.4% versus 38.1%), without reaching an absolute majority. Traditional respondents split 35.5% positive to 40.8% negative.
The country's direction
Percentages. Full responses and sample bases are in the table.
Full table by respondent group
| Response | Overall | Secular | Traditional | Religious and Haredi | Jewish | Arab |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 — Right direction | 7.2% | 3.0% | 9.3% | 13.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% |
| 2 | 10.1% | 6.7% | 13.3% | 17.6% | 10.9% | 5.8% |
| 3 | 8.6% | 5.7% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 6.4% |
| 4 — Midpoint | 13.8% | 12.1% | 15.8% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 16.0% |
| 5 | 16.2% | 18.7% | 16.8% | 12.7% | 16.9% | 12.2% |
| 6 | 16.4% | 20.4% | 12.5% | 14.5% | 16.7% | 14.7% |
| 7 — Wrong direction | 22.1% | 31.5% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 20.9% | 28.2% |
| Don't know | 5.6% | 2.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 9.6% |
| Valid N | 950 | 398 | 257 | 154 | 809 | 141 |
Models for a political settlement
The largest share, 42.8%, regarded neither of the two proposed arrangements as fair, compared with 27.6% for two states and 14.8% for one state. Neither option was favored by 48.8% of Jewish respondents and 67.3% of religious respondents. Two states received 48.1% among Arab respondents and 23.9% among Jewish respondents. Rejection of both options does not identify a single agreed alternative.
| Response | Overall | Secular | Traditional | Religious and Haredi | Jewish | Arab |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Two states for two peoples | 27.6% | 33.0% | 17.9% | 11.5% | 23.9% | 48.1% |
| One state for two peoples | 14.8% | 11.3% | 16.1% | 13.3% | 13.3% | 23.1% |
| Neither is fair | 42.8% | 41.1% | 49.1% | 67.3% | 48.8% | 10.3% |
| Don't know | 14.7% | 14.5% | 16.8% | 7.9% | 14.0% | 18.6% |
Satisfaction with the government
67.4% were dissatisfied and 27.9% satisfied. The strongest negative answer alone accounted for 42.3%. Dissatisfaction was 81.5% among secular respondents and 79.5% among Arab respondents. Among religious respondents satisfaction was 49.7% and dissatisfaction 44.9%; among traditional respondents the respective figures were 42.6% and 53.7%. The companion analysis shows that 18.2% of those satisfied with the government still saw the country as heading in the wrong direction.
| Response | Overall | Secular | Traditional | Religious and Haredi | Jewish | Arab |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Very satisfied | 8.8% | 3.2% | 13.6% | 18.8% | 9.6% | 4.5% |
| Fairly satisfied | 19.1% | 12.8% | 29.0% | 30.9% | 21.6% | 5.1% |
| Not very satisfied | 25.1% | 23.9% | 26.5% | 29.7% | 25.9% | 21.2% |
| Not at all satisfied | 42.3% | 57.6% | 27.2% | 15.2% | 39.4% | 58.3% |
| Don't know | 4.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 10.9% |
Western and non-Western partnerships
41.4% leaned toward the United States and Europe, 21.1% toward non-Western countries and 26.4% gave both equal weight. Extreme answers were less common than in the constitutional question. Secular respondents were the most Western-oriented (54.5% versus 16.5%; mean 4.9); among religious respondents the two sides were close (30.5% versus 28.5%; mean 4.1).
| Response | Overall | Secular | Traditional | Religious and Haredi | Jewish | Arab |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 — Non-Western countries | 4.5% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 7.0% |
| 2 | 6.8% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 9.0% |
| 3 | 9.8% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 9.5% |
| 4 — Both equally | 26.4% | 22.0% | 31.0% | 28.0% | 26.0% | 28.5% |
| 5 | 14.7% | 18.0% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 15.6% | 10.0% |
| 6 | 12.8% | 17.0% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 8.0% |
| 7 — United States and Europe | 13.9% | 19.5% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 14.8% | 9.0% |
| Don't know | 11.1% | 7.0% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 9.6% | 19.0% |
| Sum 1–3 | 21.1% | 16.5% | 21.5% | 28.5% | 20.4% | 25.5% |
| Sum 5–7 | 41.4% | 54.5% | 36.0% | 30.5% | 44.1% | 27.0% |
| Weighted mean | 4.5 | 4.9 | 4.4 | 4.1 | 4.6 | 4.1 |
Government efforts outside the West
29.4% rated these efforts highly and 30.3% poorly; 26.6% chose a middle rating, the most frequent single answer. High ratings reached 50.3% among religious respondents, while 39.2% of secular respondents gave low or nearly absent ratings. These ratings track overall views of the government, even though secular respondents also identified many untapped opportunities.
| Response | Overall | Secular | Traditional | Religious and Haredi | Jewish | Arab |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Very high | 8.0% | 4.7% | 9.3% | 16.4% | 8.5% | 5.1% |
| Fairly high | 21.4% | 17.2% | 28.7% | 33.9% | 24.2% | 5.8% |
| Moderate | 26.6% | 28.3% | 29.0% | 20.0% | 26.9% | 25.0% |
| Low | 16.0% | 19.2% | 14.0% | 9.7% | 15.6% | 17.9% |
| Virtually absent | 14.3% | 20.0% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 12.7% | 23.1% |
| Don't know | 13.7% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 15.8% | 12.0% | 23.1% |
Untapped cooperation
The Gulf states (29.7%), China (26.2%) and Southeast Asia (25.0%) were the most frequently named opportunities. Russia was named by 16.6%; 29.0% did not know. Secular respondents selected more options (231.5% summed across choices) than religious respondents (187.3%); 35.8% of the latter did not know. This multiple-choice measure describes perceived opportunities, not a preferred strategic ally.
| Response | Overall | Secular | Traditional | Religious and Haredi | Jewish | Arab |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gulf states | 29.7% | 37.4% | 26.5% | 22.4% | 30.9% | 23.1% |
| China | 26.2% | 29.8% | 26.9% | 21.8% | 27.3% | 20.5% |
| Southeast Asia | 25.0% | 31.5% | 24.0% | 23.0% | 27.4% | 11.5% |
| South America | 23.6% | 28.1% | 23.3% | 21.2% | 25.2% | 14.7% |
| Africa | 23.1% | 30.8% | 21.9% | 15.8% | 24.9% | 12.8% |
| India | 21.7% | 29.3% | 17.9% | 24.2% | 24.6% | 5.8% |
| Russia | 16.6% | 17.0% | 16.8% | 13.3% | 16.2% | 18.6% |
| No such country | 5.4% | 2.0% | 5.7% | 9.7% | 4.7% | 9.0% |
| Don't know | 29.0% | 24.4% | 27.2% | 35.8% | 27.5% | 37.2% |
| Sum of selections | 200.7% | 231.5% | 190.3% | 187.3% | 209.4% | 153.2% |
The single most important election issue
Economics (26.4%) narrowly led security (24.9%). The economy mattered across groups; conscription of Haredim, accountability for October 7 and judicial reform differed more by group. Among Arab respondents, security accounted for 7.7% versus 28.0% among Jewish respondents; violence in society and in Arab communities together reached 32.7%, ahead of economics (23.7%).
| Response | Overall | Secular | Traditional | Religious and Haredi | Jewish | Arab |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economy | 26.4% | 24.4% | 30.1% | 27.9% | 26.9% | 23.7% |
| Security | 24.9% | 22.9% | 31.9% | 33.9% | 28.0% | 7.7% |
| Haredi conscription | 10.3% | 14.8% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 3.2% |
| Judicial reform | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 12.1% | 8.5% | 5.1% |
| Violence in society | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 16.0% |
| Accountability for October 7 | 6.1% | 9.4% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 6.6% | 3.2% |
| Violence in Arab communities | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 1.4% | 16.7% |
| Religion and state | 3.4% | 5.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% |
| Other | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Don't know | 7.5% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 20.5% |
Other issues voters consider important
With multiple answers allowed, 71.2% selected the economy and 65.3% security, followed by violence in society (46.0%), Haredi conscription (42.7%) and both judicial reform and October 7 accountability (37.2% each). Haredi conscription was selected by 57.9% of secular and 10.9% of Arab respondents. October 7 accountability was selected by 48.3% of secular and 25.5% of religious respondents.
| Response | Overall | Secular | Traditional | Religious and Haredi | Jewish | Arab |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economy | 71.2% | 72.4% | 73.5% | 77.0% | 73.6% | 57.7% |
| Security | 65.3% | 69.7% | 71.3% | 73.3% | 70.9% | 34.6% |
| Violence in society | 46.0% | 50.7% | 41.9% | 37.6% | 45.3% | 50.0% |
| Haredi conscription | 42.7% | 57.9% | 41.2% | 38.2% | 48.6% | 10.9% |
| Judicial reform | 37.2% | 38.9% | 37.3% | 45.5% | 39.6% | 23.7% |
| Accountability for October 7 | 37.2% | 48.3% | 37.3% | 25.5% | 40.2% | 20.5% |
| Violence in Arab communities | 32.4% | 33.5% | 28.0% | 23.0% | 29.6% | 47.4% |
| Religion and state | 30.0% | 40.9% | 22.9% | 29.1% | 32.7% | 15.4% |
Preferred prime minister
Netanyahu led with 29.2%, 10.0 percentage points ahead of Eisenkot (19.2%); Bennett was at 16.2%. Netanyahu received 55.8% among religious, 45.5% among traditional, 16.3% among secular and 5.8% among Arab respondents. Five other candidates together received 45.7%. The companion analysis shows a 21.4-point gap between Netanyahu (60.9%) and Likud (39.5%) among people who thought the country was on the right track; these are answers to different questions.
Preferred prime minister
Percentages. Full responses and sample bases are in the table.
Full table by respondent group
| Response | Overall | Secular | Traditional | Religious and Haredi | Jewish | Arab |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Netanyahu | 29.2% | 16.3% | 45.5% | 55.8% | 33.5% | 5.8% |
| Gadi Eisenkot | 19.2% | 29.1% | 12.9% | 6.1% | 19.3% | 18.6% |
| Naftali Bennett | 16.2% | 25.1% | 13.6% | 6.1% | 17.6% | 8.3% |
| Avigdor Lieberman | 4.2% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 1.3% |
| Yair Lapid | 3.8% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 2.4% | 11.5% |
| Itamar Ben-Gvir | 3.6% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Benny Gantz | 2.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% |
| Bezalel Smotrich | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Aryeh Deri | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| Yitzhak Goldknopf | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 2.6% |
| None of them | 10.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 13.3% | 7.6% | 26.3% |
| Don't know | 9.3% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 22.4% |
Intention to vote
87.1% said they intended to vote; 65.9% said they definitely would. Definite intent was 68.2% among Jewish respondents and 53.2% among Arab respondents. Another 16.7% of Arab respondents were undecided about voting. Reported intent is not observed turnout.
| Response | Overall | Secular | Traditional | Religious and Haredi | Jewish | Arab |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Definitely will vote | 65.9% | 73.4% | 65.6% | 60.0% | 68.2% | 53.2% |
| Probably will vote | 21.2% | 19.7% | 21.5% | 29.1% | 22.1% | 16.0% |
| Probably will not vote | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% |
| Definitely will not vote | 2.8% | 0.5% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 9.0% |
| Don't know | 6.4% | 3.2% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 16.7% |
Party preferences
Likud led at 19.3%. The report groups the then coalition parties at 32.1%, Jewish opposition lists at 44.1% and Arab parties at 4.5%; 14.8% had not decided, including 31.4% of Arab respondents. Bennett–Lapid received 15.5% and Eisenkot 13.5% in the options surveyed. These are June response shares, not a seat projection or election result.
| Response | Overall | Secular | Traditional | Religious and Haredi | Jewish | Arab |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Likud (Netanyahu) | 19.3% | 14.0% | 35.5% | 17.6% | 21.8% | 5.8% |
| Bennett + Lapid | 15.5% | 24.1% | 13.3% | 3.6% | 16.6% | 9.6% |
| Eisenkot | 13.5% | 21.9% | 11.1% | 4.2% | 14.9% | 5.8% |
| The Democrats (Golan) | 6.9% | 10.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 6.1% | 10.9% |
| Otzma Yehudit (Ben-Gvir) | 6.6% | 4.2% | 9.0% | 14.5% | 7.8% | 0.0% |
| Yisrael Beiteinu | 5.9% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 6.7% | 1.3% |
| Shas (Deri) | 2.7% | 0.0% | 2.5% | 11.5% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Religious Zionism | 2.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 12.7% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Gantz | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% |
| Joint List | 2.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.8% |
| Hadash–Ta'al | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.0% |
| Ra'am | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.1% |
| United Torah Judaism | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Other party | 4.7% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 11.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% |
| Don't know | 14.8% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 31.4% |
Confidence in the choice
Among decided respondents, 90.2% said they were confident and 43.9% very confident. The strongest level reached 50.7% among religious respondents and 52.3% among Arab respondents. Stated confidence at the time of a survey cannot rule out later changes.
| Response | Overall | Secular | Traditional | Religious and Haredi | Jewish | Arab |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Very confident | 43.9% | 37.8% | 45.3% | 50.7% | 42.7% | 52.3% |
| Fairly confident | 46.3% | 52.1% | 46.9% | 36.6% | 47.5% | 38.3% |
| Not very confident | 9.2% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 7.5% |
| Not at all confident | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 1.9% |
What drives party choice
The leader's personality ranked first (30.9%), followed by security (17.5%), the character of the state (16.2%) and the economy (9.6%). Leader identity was prominent among secular and traditional respondents (34.2% and 35.8%). Religious respondents were more evenly split across the leader, state character, security and community identity. Among Arab respondents, community identity (18.7%) and the economy (15.0%) carried more weight.
| Response | Overall | Secular | Traditional | Religious and Haredi | Jewish | Arab |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leader's personality | 30.9% | 34.2% | 35.8% | 21.8% | 32.4% | 20.6% |
| Security and strategic policy | 17.5% | 14.2% | 24.7% | 19.7% | 18.7% | 9.3% |
| Character of the state | 16.2% | 20.3% | 9.5% | 21.1% | 16.9% | 11.2% |
| Economy and cost of living | 9.6% | 6.8% | 12.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 15.0% |
| Community or group affiliation | 8.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 15.5% | 6.8% | 18.7% |
| Position on investigating October 7 | 5.4% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 4.5% | 11.2% |
| Position on Haredi conscription | 4.7% | 6.6% | 1.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% |
| Other reason | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 8.4% |
| Don't know | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% |
| Valid N | 857 | 365 | 243 | 142 | 750 | 107 |
Perceived readiness to cooperate with Arab parties
49.9% thought the opposition more willing to cooperate with Arab parties and 7.9% named the coalition. The opposition was named by 71.5% of religious respondents. Among Arab respondents, 20.5% said neither side and 31.4% did not know. The result reflects perceived willingness, not a commitment from a party.
| Response | Overall | Secular | Traditional | Religious and Haredi | Jewish | Arab |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opposition | 49.9% | 48.0% | 50.5% | 71.5% | 53.4% | 30.8% |
| Coalition | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 5.1% |
| Both equally | 11.8% | 16.0% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 11.8% | 12.2% |
| Neither | 11.4% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 20.5% |
| Don't know | 19.0% | 17.5% | 20.1% | 9.1% | 16.7% | 31.4% |
What the June survey shows
The survey records broad dissatisfaction with the government alongside divided alternatives. Economic concerns were shared, but constitutional preferences, security and conscription split groups differently. The report identifies list configurations and differences in voting intention as uncertainties. It describes opinions at the time of fieldwork; it does not predict later turnout, seats or coalition formation.